Graduation Year

2020

Date of Submission

12-2019

Document Type

Open Access Senior Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Arts

Reader 1

Professor William Lincoln

Abstract

On 8th November, 2016, Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi announced the demonetization of all ₹500 (approx. USD 7) and ₹1,000 (approx. USD 14) denominations of banknotes of the Mahatma Gandhi Series issued by the Reserve Bank of India. Overnight, 86% of the currency in circulation was cancelled in an economy where 80% of transactions are cash based. The goal behind this scheme was two-fold – to reduce corruption and black money in the Indian Economy, as well as to increase financial inclusion and create a more digitalized economy. In this paper, I look at the impact of this scheme on the digitization effects across the country. Using data from the Reserve Bank of India website – value and volume of ATM and Point of Sale transactions before, during and after demonetization – I use an Interrupted Time Series design to analyze impact. Relative to the pre-event trend, I find a significant increase in value and volume of point of sale transactions after the immediate announcement, and a significant decline in value and volume of ATM transactions for the same period.

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