Graduation Year

2017

Date of Submission

12-2016

Document Type

Campus Only Senior Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Arts

Department

Economics

Reader 1

David Bjerk

Rights Information

© 2016 Erik Michael Anderson

Abstract

It is estimated in the last five years Chinese investors have poured over $93 billion into the United States residential real estate market targeting high-end housing sectors. I analyze the implications of the investment and how it has affected the Bay Area housing prices. In order to find out why large outflows are targeting the United States I compare China’s economy with Japan’s economy in the late 1980’s when Japanese investors invested over $300 billion into high profile real estate properties. I find many similarities, suggesting China has a bubble economy such as Japan before the lost decade. To combat their bubble, China has implemented new restrictions on capital outflows in order to stabilize their volatile markets. In terms of the Bay Area real estate market I gathered evidence a recession is imminent due to the demand falling for high-end housing. The housing market mirrors economic health and indicates whether an economy is in a boom or bust.

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