Graduation Year

2023

Date of Submission

4-2023

Document Type

Open Access Senior Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Arts

Department

Economics

Reader 1

William Lincoln

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Terms of Use for work posted in Scholarship@Claremont.

Rights Information

2023 Mariela Centeno

Abstract

This paper sets out to understand the economic conditions that paved the way for the evolution and resilience of a powerful and resilient drug economy in Mexico. To do this, I examine the relationship between a proxy for drug movement from Mexico and large economic variables in the country. I use a dataset that incorporates the drug seizures from 1997 to 2022 to understand whether privatization and the resulting rising economic inequalities in Mexico paved the way for a growing drug economy. This paper builds on current literature regarding drug market estimates and drug economy interactions. Using an OLS regression model on drug seizure panel data and Mexican economic variables, the results reveal a significant relationship between economic variables and the expansion of drug seizures. In the end, this paper provides a wide-scale economic analysis of the underlying conditions behind the resilience of the drug economy in Mexico. In turn, it supplies important implications for policy makers and drug control administrations.

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