Graduation Year

2026

Date of Submission

4-2026

Document Type

Open Access Senior Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Arts

Department

International Relations

Reader 1

Terril Jones

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Abstract

The durability of competitive authoritarian regimes is often derived from media capture, a sophisticated system in which media institutions are structured to favor incumbent actors. Viktor Orbán’s Hungary serves as a quintessential example. For more than a decade, opposition actors were systematically denied meaningful access to the electorate, enabling Orbán to maintain his grip on power through consecutive elections. But that durability did not last. Drawing on Marius Dragomir’s media capture model and Steven Levitsky and Lucan Way’s framework of hybrid regimes, this thesis argues Péter Magyar’s landslide victory in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election exposed three vulnerabilities of media capture: the fragility of polarized media systems, the limits of delegitimization, and the incompleteness of traditional propaganda in today’s digital landscape. Ultimately, Magyar’s victory is best understood as a case of conditional disruption: the structural deterioration within Orbán’s system opened a pathway for Magyar’s strategic breakthrough.

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